Majelyn
Portfolio Summary

Maximum California Earthquake Portfolio

Total Insured Value
$4.61B
Properties
1,232
California Counties
30
Largest Single Risk
$272M
01Geographic Distribution

Geographic distribution

Top five counties account for 93% of TIV; Los Angeles and Monterey together account for 82%. Monterey holds the largest property count (mid-market wood-frame residential); Los Angeles holds the largest TIV.

TIV Share by County

CountyPropertiesTotal TIV% of TIV
Los Angeles140$2.25B48.8%
Monterey977$1.55B33.6%
San Francisco5$232.9M5.0%
Santa Barbara15$173.2M3.8%
Santa Cruz12$85.0M1.8%
All Other (25)83$311.6M6.8%
02Composition

TIV distribution and construction

56.6% of properties carry TIV under $1M; 1.4% of properties account for 22% of TIV. Wood frame is the dominant construction type at 88% of count.

TIV Distribution by Band

< $1M
$1M - $5M
$5M - $10M
$10M - $25M
$25M - $50M
$50M+

Construction Type

Wood frame
Tilt-up
Steel
Concrete
03Vintage

Vintage distribution

Year built relative to California seismic-code milestones. From the 1,143-property sub-sample with year-built data (87% LightBox coverage). Median year built: 1966.

Properties by Construction Era (n=968)

EraProperties% of SubsetCode Era
Pre-1933818.4%Pre-Long Beach quake
1933 - 197143645.0%Pre-Sylmar
1971 - 199429330.3%Pre-Northridge
1994 - 20089710.0%Post-Northridge
2008+616.3%Modern IBC
04Building Geometry

Building footprint and orientation

Per-property building geometry derived from satellite footprint extraction. Long-axis azimuth, axes, area, and height are reported on a 1,296-property sub-sample (98%) with successful footprint extraction.

Median Aspect Ratio
1.42
long ÷ short
Median Footprint
249 m²
Median Height
5.1 m
Median Azimuth
89°
long axis

Building Height (n=920)

< 4m (≈1 story)
164 · 17.8%
4-7m (≈2 story)
612 · 66.5%
7-12m (≈3 story)
129 · 14.0%
12-30m
14 · 1.5%
30m+ (high-rise)
1 · 0.1%

Aspect Ratio (long ÷ short, n=999)

Square 1.0-1.25
337 · 33.7%
Compact 1.25-1.5
217 · 21.7%
Moderate 1.5-2
261 · 26.1%
Elongated 2-3
147 · 14.7%
Highly elongated 3+
37 · 3.7%

Footprint Area (n=999)

< 100 m²
56 · 5.6%
100-200 m²
275 · 27.5%
200-300 m²
275 · 27.5%
300-500 m²
192 · 19.2%
500-1,000 m²
133 · 13.3%
1,000+ m²
68 · 6.8%

Distribution shows a mild bias toward east-west and ESE-WNW alignment, consistent with the LA / Monterey street-grid mix. Orientation can affect torsional response under non-axial ground motion.

05Retrofit

Seismic retrofit status

50 confirmed retrofits to date. Additional properties are being validated as we integrate a newly discovered datasource.

Status

StatusCountTIV
Seismically retrofitted50 (4.1%)$498M
Not retrofitted or unconfirmed1,182 (95.9%)$4.11B

Retrofit Rate by Fault Distance

DistanceRetrofit Rate
< 1 km4.0%
1 - 5 km3.0%
5 - 10 km10.2%
10 - 25 km2.7%
> 25 km0.0%
06Fault Proximity

Distance to nearest mapped fault

Computed against California Geological Survey fault traces for the 1,320-property enriched set. Median distance: 1.16 km; mean: 2.53 km. The bearing distribution reflects the strike of the San Andreas system.

Properties by Fault Distance (n=1,320)

< 1 km
624 · 47.3%
1 - 5 km
538 · 40.8%
5 - 10 km
112 · 8.5%
10 - 25 km
36 · 2.7%
> 25 km
10 · 0.8%
Distance to Nearest FaultProperties% of Subset
< 1 km62447.3%
1 - 5 km53840.8%
5 - 10 km1128.5%
10 - 25 km362.7%
> 25 km100.8%

Top Fault Exposures by TIV

07Fault Age

Fault age — CGS classification of the nearest fault

CGS classifies faults by most-recent rupture age. The age of the nearest fault is one input to seismic hazard. Two-thirds of the enriched set sits closest to a Quaternary fault; about one-third is closest to a Late Quaternary fault.

Distribution by Age Class (n=1,320)

Holocene/Historical
10 · 0.8%
Late Quaternary
415 · 31.4%
Quaternary
895 · 67.8%
Age Class of Nearest FaultProperties%Hazard Tier
Holocene / Historical (< 11,700 yr)100.8%Highest
Late Quaternary (< 130,000 yr)41531.4%Moderate
Quaternary (< 1.6 M yr)89567.8%Background
08Composite Score

Majelyn Earthquake Risk Score (MERS)

A proprietary 0-100 risk score grounded in peer-reviewed research and industry-accepted weighting factors. MERS combines ground motion intensity (USGS NSHM 2023), fault proximity, site conditions (ASCE 7-22 Vs30 / NEHRP), CGS geologic hazard zones, and structure vulnerability. Higher scores indicate higher modeled seismic risk.

v0.1 · Beta
Median MERS
50
of 100
Mean MERS
50.5
σ = 5.9
Q1 - Q3
47 - 53
interquartile range
Min / Max
22 / 80
portfolio range

Score Legend & Portfolio Distribution (n=1,320)

0-20
Low
3 (0.3%)
21-40
Moderate
202 (20.1%)
41-60
Elevated
793 (78.9%)
61-80
High
7 (0.7%)
81-100
Very High
0 props

Score Distribution (10-point bins)

Sub-Score Composition (Mean, 0-100, n=1,320)

Sub-Score Breakdown

Ground Motion
90.4
Site Conditions
50.1
Fault Proximity
47.1
Structure Vuln.
33.8
Geologic Hazards
2.6

Ground Motion saturates near the cap (California baseline seismicity). Geologic Hazards mean is lifted by the 70 properties (5.3%) inside a CGS overlay zone; the median is 0 because the rest sit outside.

09Per-Site Vs30 / NEHRP

Site class — per-site Vs30 and NEHRP classification

Per-site Vs30 derived from CGS MS-48 (Wills 2015 / Thompson 2022 30m raster). NEHRP class assigned per ASCE 7-22. Reported on the full 1,320-property enriched set. Median Vs30 is 447 m/s; range 226 - 935 m/s.

Median Vs30
447 m/s
Mean Vs30
429 m/s
Vs30 Range
226 - 935
Site-Specific Required
0 of 1,320

NEHRP Class Distribution

NEHRP ClassVs30 Range (m/s)Properties% of Subset
BC540 - 76030.2%
C366 - 54015011.4%
CD263 - 36664248.6%
D213 - 26344233.5%
DE152 - 213836.3%

Eighty-three properties (6.3%) classify as DE — soft soil. None classify as E, and none triggered the ASCE 7-22 site-specific analysis threshold (E with reference PGA ≥ 0.4 g).

10Design Ground Motion · USGS NSHM

Design ground motion — USGS NSHM

USGS National Seismic Hazard Model — 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years, at NSHM reference site class BC. Reported on the 1,320-property enriched set.

Median PGA
0.709 g
Mean PGA
0.733 g
Range
0.19 - 1.42 g
≥ 0.6 g (Very High+)
93.1%

PGA Band Distribution (n=1,320)

Moderate (< 0.4g)
15 · 1.1%
High (0.4-0.6g)
76 · 5.8%
Very High (0.6-0.8g)
1,041 · 78.9%
Severe (≥0.8g)
188 · 14.2%

Note on Fpga:Above ~0.4 g reference PGA, ASCE 7-22 caps the Fpga site-amplification factor at 1.0 for all site classes (nonlinear soil response). Site-adjusted PGA tracks reference PGA in this portfolio's range.

11State Hazard Zones · CGS

State seismic hazard zone overlays

California Geological Survey Seismic Hazard Zones — Alquist-Priolo (active fault), liquefaction, and earthquake-induced landslide. Computed for the 1,320-property enriched set.

Properties in CGS Zones (n=1,320)

Liquefaction
45 · 3.4%
Landslide
18 · 1.4%
Alquist-Priolo
8 · 0.6%
In any CGS zone
70 · 5.3%
ZoneIn Zone% of Subset
Liquefaction453.4%
Alquist-Priolo (active fault)80.6%
Earthquake-induced landslide181.4%
In any CGS zone705.3%
12Wildfire Exposure

Wildfire exposure — NIFC perimeters and USFS WHP

Two signals are reported. The first is point-in-polygon intersection with NIFC historical fire perimeters. The second is USFS Wildfire Hazard Potential at the county level.

NIFC Historical Fire Perimeter (n=1,320)

SignalProperties% of Subset
Inside historical fire perimeter40.3%
Within 1 km of any perimeter554.2%

Inside-perimeter intersections fall in the 2025 Palisades Fire footprint (Pacific Palisades / Malibu). Within-1km matches are predominantly Palisades-adjacent.

USFS Wildfire Hazard Potential by County (n=1,320)

CountyPropsDirectIndirect
San Luis Obispo841.3%46.6%
Santa Cruz County1636.7%33.3%
Monterey County1,04829.5%23.5%
Santa Barbara1525.5%40.9%
Riverside County417.2%42.9%
Los Angeles1365.0%14.6%
San Francisco70.4%3.0%
Coverage Notes

What's in the numbers

  • Headline portfolio totals (TIV, county, TIV distribution, construction) are computed on the 1,232 source SOV line items from the original portfolio file.
  • Fault proximity, fault age, NSHM ground motion, CGS overlays, building geometry, per-site Vs30 / NEHRP, and MERS (composite, sub-scores, flags) are computed on the 1,320-property enriched set. The enriched count exceeds the SOV count because Mapbox occasionally resolved one source row to multiple distinct buildings (correctly).
  • Vs30 source: CGS MS-48 (Wills 2015 / Thompson 2022 30m raster).
  • Fault traces: California Geological Survey.
  • Wildfire signals: NIFC point-in-polygon plus a 1 km buffer; USFS WHP at the county level.
  • Building geometry: derived from satellite footprint extraction (azimuth, axes, area, height).